Energy

Key political risks to watch

January 4, 2012

Reuters‘ near term alert to key politcal risks to monitor in Cuba: Resolution of outstanding short-term debt. Signs of increased interest in foreign investment. U.S. inspection of drilling rig. Results of Repsol’s exploratory well. U.S. pressure to stop the drilling. Furthermore, on international relations: A planned Papal visit in March and improved ties with Brazil are bright [...]

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Key political risks to watch in Cuba

October 10, 2011

Reuters lists in its early October Factbox, key political risks to watch in the island: The pace and final version of reforms. The numbers and performance of the newly self-employed. Agricultural production. Resolution of bank account access for foreign businesses. Effects of global economic problems. The growth of American travel to Cuba. Arrival of drilling rig. Results [...]

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Supercomputer predicts revolution

September 12, 2011

Via BBC: Feeding a supercomputer with news stories could help predict major world events, according to US research. A study, based on millions of articles, charted deteriorating national sentiment ahead of the recent revolutions in Libya and Egypt. While the analysis was carried out retrospectively, scientists say the same processes could be used to anticipate [...]

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Cuba’s offshore oil development

August 2, 2011

The U.S. Congressional Research Service published last month a report entitled “Cuba’s Offshore Oil Development: Background and U.S. Policy Considerations.” If oil is found, some experts estimate that it would take at least three to five years before production would begin. While it is unclear whether offshore oil production could result in Cuba becoming a [...]

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Searching for new lifelines

July 7, 2011

The Economist on Raul Castro pinning hope of economic independence from Venezuela through oil exploration off Cuban coastal waters. Just when they were beginning to get used to the daunting prospect of life without Fidel Castro, Cubans are now being forced to consider another, even more daunting, possibility: life without Hugo Chávez. Venezuela’s president may well make [...]

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Possibility of revolt?

April 29, 2011

The Economist Intelligence Unit gauges at the possibilty of a revolt in Cuba: Indeed, there is no sign yet that events on the other side of the world are inspiring a rise in anti-government sentiment in Cuba. And it may well be that the government’s decision to modestly liberalise economic policy to allow the emergence of [...]

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