Category — Fidel Castro
Wordle
August 27, 2008 No Comments
Post-Castroism and sovereignty under seige
Several challenges will be posed to a transitional government once Castroism fades from existence (elements will certainly remain) and a semblance of democracy emerges. Organized crime will be one of them, particularly in the streets of Havana and other cities throughout the island, perpetrated by gangs.
The lessons learned (from strategy and tactics to combat) of the current gang and organized crime phenomena evolving in Central America and Mexico proves invaluable to a future transitional government in how to confront these internal security issues.
Dr. Max Manwaring (Professor of Military Strategy at the U.S. Army War College) has written an article titled: “Sovereignty Under Seige: Gangs and Other Criminal Organizations in Central America and Mexico” published in the Spanish edition of Air and Space Power Journal addressing the current security challenges posed by gangs and organized crime in the Americas.
He also wrote at the end of 2007: “A Contemporary Challenge to State Sovereignty: Gangs and Other Illicit Transnational Criminal Organizations (TCOs) in Central America, El Salvador, Mexico, Jamaica, and Brazil“ published by the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College that is worth a read.
Manwaring points out in his excellent article, Sovereignty Under Seige:
Another kind of war within the context of a “clash of civilizations” is being waged in various parts of the Americas, Africa, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and everywhere else around the world today. Some of the main protagonists are those who have come to be designated as first-, second-, and third-generation street gangs, as well as the more traditional Trans-National Criminal Organizations (TCOs) such as Mafia families, Illegal Drug Traffickers, Warlords, Terrorists, Insurgents, etc. In this different (“new”) kind of war, TCOs are not sending conventional military units across national borders or building an industrial capability in an attempt to “filch some province” from some country. These non-state actors are more interested in commercial profit and controlling territory (turf) to allow maximum freedom of movement and action. In addition to drug smuggling, these criminal organizations are known to have expanded their activities—among others–to smuggling people, body parts, weapons, and cars; along with associated intimidation, murder, kidnapping, and robbery; money laundering; home and community invasion; and other lucrative societal destabilization activities. That freedom of action within countries and across national frontiers ensures commercial market share and revenues, as well as secure bases for market expansion. The corrosive effects of the associated criminal violence and gratuitous cruelty of that freedom of movement also generates a different kind of clash of civilizations. It is not a clash of Western and Eastern cultures. Rather, it is a clash of values. It is a clash of values between Liberal Democracy and criminal anarchy.
What makes all of this into a new type of war is that the national security and sovereignty of affected countries is being impinged every day, and TCO’s illicit commercial motives are, in fact, becoming an ominous political agenda. Rather than trying to depose a government in a major stroke (golpe or coup) or a prolonged revolutionary war, as some insurgents have done, gangs and other TCOs more subtly take control of turf one street or neighborhood at a time (coup d’ street), or one individual, business, or government office at a time. Thus, whether a gang or another TCO is specifically a criminal or insurgent type organization is irrelevant. The putative objective of all these illegal entities—the common denominator that directly links gangs, other TCOs, and insurgents– is to control people, territory, and government to ensure their own specific ends. That is a good definition of insurgency, a serious political agenda, and a clash of controlling values.
[H/T: SWJ]
Sphere: Related ContentTags: Central America, clash of civilizations, commercial profit, criminal organizations, drug traffickers, Havana, mafia families, Mara Salvatrucha, national borders, Organized crime, post-Castro, Security, smuggling, state actors, street gangs, Violence
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August 24, 2008 No Comments
Russia, Cuba and Latin America
La Nueva Cuba has published two articles related to Russia, Cuba and Latin America.
The first is an editorial by Pravada titled “Battle for Ossetia transferred to Latin America,” stating Russia’s support of its allies (Cuba, Venezuela, and Bolivia) in Latin America. There is no English translation, however, a Spanish one is made by Urgente 24 from Argentina. And the second article is an interview (in Spanish) of Dr. Valdimir Zudarev (Vice-Director of the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Latin American Institute) by Radio Nederland’s InformaRN, who is quoted as saying: “Moscow wants to return to Latin America.”
Sphere: Related ContentTags: Bolivia, Cuba, Latin America, Moscow, Ossetia, radio nederland, Russia, russian academy of sciences, urgente 24, Venezuela
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August 23, 2008 No Comments
Chávez Sees Cuba as a Model
Mary Anastasia O’Grady, The Americas columnist for the Wall Street Journal writes about Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez emulating Fidel Castro’s authoritarian trait:
It is no secret that Hugo Chávez wants to be just like Fidel Castro someday. And last week he took a step closer to that goal by laying down 26 new decrees designed to eviscerate property rights and further consolidate economic power in the presidential palace. He also nationalized the third-largest bank in the country.
Yet it is not only in the economic realm that Hugo is mimicking his Cuban idol. What has been less publicized is the Venezuelan president’s expanding collection of political prisoners, and his other sinister methods of neutralizing opponents.
The economic measures of the Bolivarian Revolution are worrying enough on their own. The government has proclaimed food production and distribution a public good, which means that the state can intervene in any way it wants. Indeed, it already has; and many believe that Mr. Chávez now has the Venezuela food processor and beverage maker Polar targeted for nationalization.
Mr. Chávez has spent nearly a decade trying to transform Venezuela into a centrally planned economy. The results are dismal. There are food shortages, private-sector investment and employment are shrinking, and inflation for the past 12 months was almost 34%. A rising homicide rate suggests that civil order is breaking down.
Nevertheless, Mr. Chávez appears pleased with the circumstances, illuminating another way in which he resembles Castro: Both men are narcissists above all else, and both have been driven by an intense desire to rule as the omnipotent caudillo. The welfare of the nation is beside the point.
Sphere: Related ContentTags: bolivarian revolution, economic measures, economic power, food production, food shortages, Hugo Chavez, nationalization, planned economy, political prisoners, private sector investment, Venezuela, venezuela food
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August 14, 2008 1 Comment
Cuba after Fidel
Oxford Analytica remarks about the state of post-Fidel:
Ever since long-standing Cuban leader Fidel Castro handed power to his brother, Raul, to undergo gastric surgery, expectations have been for change on the island -– even more so after Fidel announced his retirement in February, with his brother ratified as president.
Raul has indeed announced a series of (primarily economic) reforms since taking office, designed to address increasingly visible and vocal public demands for change:
- Legalising the sale of products such as mobile phones and computers
- Allowing Cubans to stay in tourist hotels (if they can afford it)
- Liberalising the agricultural sector, with land handed over to farmers, and the state selling them tools and inputs.
However, external challenges have limited the scope of reforms:
- High international food and energy prices have hit Cuba particularly hard, leaving the government unable to afford other promises — including a pledge to eliminate wage equality by rewarding higher productivity; and to end wholesale food subsidies through rationing.
- Indeed, Raul warned in a recent speech of the need for increased austerity — in energy consumption, for instance — to cope with the effects of global inflation.
Public demands
While reform efforts are constrained, public desire for change has not eased. Spaces are emerging for discontent to be voiced:
- Blogs such as the irreverent “Generacion Y”, are now maintained from the island, albeit hosted on foreign servers.
- A social democratic party has recently been formed, which claims to be leftist and, in contrast to many other dissident groups, opposes the long-standing US economic embargo on Cuba, and does not receive US funding.
- Even official sources seem more open to critical views than in the past, with the Communist Party newspaper starting to publish a (carefully filtered) “letter to the editors” section, in effect delineating the acceptable extent of criticism.
Still, the government believes for now that it can contain political dissent and manage rising public expectations. While its grip on power will remain tight for the foreseeable future, and periodic low-level harassment of some opponents will continue, it is likely increasingly to struggle to manage popular discontent.
Changing international alignments
More change is visible on the international stage, as the government re-thinks old alliances:
- Cuba remains extremely reliant on Venezuela and China, but Raul is seeking to be less dependent on alliances with other left-wing governments.
- Brazil, for instance, could become key to more balanced and diverse international relations — its foreign minister, Celso Amorim, recently stated it wishes to be Cuba’s main international partner.
- The EU recently officially lifted sanctions on Cuba (already suspended since 2005). While differences remain on how to handle relations with the Raul government, the Spanish have made unilateral attempts to encourage further liberalisation.
The Cuban government will continue to respond to such moves, though it will be careful not to seem eager in doing so. For instance, irrespective of who takes office in Washington next year, US-Cuban bilateral relations will improve -– but gradually, in recognition of domestic politics in each country, and accompanied by occasionally harsh rhetoric. Those hoping for change will have to be patient.
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August 1, 2008 No Comments
Agents of influence
Lt. Col. Chris Simmons, former US Army counter-intelligence officer and founder of the Cuban Intelligence Research Center, has revealed the following individuals as agents of influence of the Cuban government in the United States in an interview conducted by journalist Oscar Haza in his Miami-based TV program, A Mano Limpia.
To be continued…
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July 31, 2008 1 Comment








