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Army General Raúl Castro gave Cubans a reprieve by allowing them to open small businesses, but doubts exist if the measure meets with the goal of reducing a bloated bureaucracy and help reanimate the economy “without market reforms.”  The enlargement of “self-employment,” expected by many Cubans and suggested by economists, was announced by Raúl Castro on Sunday before the National Assembly as part of “structural changes” that seeks to make the economic model more efficient and avoiding a collapse of the socialist system.  [AFP]

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Der Spiegel on the political and economic realities facing the Castro regime in its fight for survival:

But the release of the dissidents could also be a message to the Europeans, who have not been entirely sure what to make of the new president since he officially assumed office in February 2008. Raul is believed to be less of a fundamentalist and more of a pragmatist than his brother Fidel. “He is not someone who is out to change the system, but he does show an understanding for the problems,” says one of the Europeans in Havana.

At first, Raul Castro sparked hopes that reforms could be on the way. But so far his fellow Cubans have seen little change, except that they can now own mobile phones and computers with limited Internet access.

Europe, however, wants to see clear signs of liberalization, as a precondition of more intensive cooperation with Havana, especially “progress in the area of human rights and political freedom.” European governments reached this conclusion long ago, in December 1996, and the same conditions are still in place today. However, Castro has forced the Europeans’ hand by releasing the dissidents.

Faced with a catastrophic situation in Cuban agriculture, Raul Castro is urgently in need of aid from Europe. The sugarcane harvest this summer, once an important source of foreign currency, is the worst since 1905. It is even about half a million tons shy of the harvest in 2009, when hurricanes wreaked havoc on the country.

Cuba is now forced to import more than 80 percent of its food, while foreign investment and exports have declined dramatically. At the same time, the sugar island is practically bankrupt and has had to reduce imports of food products and spare parts by at least a third.

Tens of thousands of well-trained young Cubans are leaving the country every year to earn money for their families elsewhere. The numbers would probably be even higher if the government let them go. For this reason, EU diplomats expect more signals from Raul on July 26, a Cuban national holiday: more privatization in agriculture, more freedom to buy homes and a relaxation of restrictions on travel abroad.

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ABC (one of Spain’s national newspapers) on the fall of Hugo Chávez’s popularity that is sparking reinforced presence of Cubans in the Venezuelan military to consolidate his totalitarian project.

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Cuba’s government has allowed Granma (Cuban Communist Party’s newspaper) to publish letters to the editor (here and here) critical of an economy devastated by decades of corruption and centralized power.

(Image: Granma, Carta a la dirección, 7 May 2010.)

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National Public Radio on disco fever gripping Cubans in Havana.

The report distinguishes between discotecas (which are discothèques), while discotembas are bars and public gatherings playing 1970s disco hits and attracting a graying crowd of dancers.  Temba is Cuban slang for a middle-aged person who’s a bit past his or her prime.

Cuba’s communist authorities have shown more tolerance for American pop music once frowned upon.

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Global Post piece on Cubans primarily using their cell phones as text-messaging machines and glorified pagers.

[H/T: AS/COA]

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The Prosecutor and Municipal Tribunal, as well as the offices of the Department of Justice, continue to perform in peacetime. Except in a case where an exceptional situation is declared, tribunals and sector prosecutors will be activated, and special legislation will be applied under the principle of unique military jurisdiction.”

Lt. Coronel Adolfo Sánchez (Chief, Cotorro Municipality Judicial Group)

The above referenced quote comes from an informative article published last month by CubaNet entitled “Legislación especial,” which was written by independent journalist Odelín Alfonso Torna.

Torna alerts to the ramifications of information technology and high tech devices that Cubans now have access to (e.g. USB flash drives, mobile phones, iPods) whereby the Cuban government is loosing control of information. Even government employees are violating security regulations exposing confidential information that is being leaked and disseminated to the populace.

He warns of an unexpected special legislation for exceptional situations (e.g. foreign invasion and popular revolt) as Cubans are presently facing repression at its “highest magnitude.”

Read the rest of this entry »

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Reuters reports:

A crackdown on corruption by Army General Raul Castro is causing consternation among ordinary Cubans, who say it is biting into the flourishing black market and reducing a prized source of cheaper food and other items.

The complaints are tempered by the expectation that inventive Cubans, driven by economic necessity and seasoned by years of filching from the centralized socialist economy, will soon restore the pipeline of illicit goods to full flow.

But Cubans say the offer of products on the black market, where goods generally are much cheaper than in stores, has dropped off noticeably. The average salary in Cuba is about $20 a month, so the black market helps Cubans stretch their money or, if they are sellers, supplement their income.

Castro’s transfer of many retail businesses to military control has caused state employees who once routinely stole goods to stop, or at least think twice. Military managers are said to exercise better inventory control and be less tolerant of filching.

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Coup plotters? Felipe Perez Roque and Carlos Lage receive Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez at Jose Marti International Airport in Havana on June 16, 2008. (Image: AFP)

Coup plotters? Felipe Perez Roque and Carlos Lage greet Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez at Jose Marti International Airport in Havana on June 16, 2008. (Image: AFP)

Jorge Casta

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Col. Crowther discussing how the war in Iraq will affect U.S.-Latin America Relations at at George Washington University. Image: GWU

Col. Crowther discussing how the war in Iraq will affect U.S.-Latin America Relations at George Washington University. Image: GWU

Colonel Alexander Crowther, a Research Professor of National Security Studies in the Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, has written an editorial titled: “Kiss the Embargo Goodbye” for SSI’s monthly newsletter calling for the end of the U.S. embargo against Cuba.

He has written prior editorials and papers on Cuba and its military.

Col. Crowther outlines the reasons that have supported the embargo and why it should be lifted.

On the support of:

  1. we need to continue pressuring the regime to motivate it to reform;
  2. the Cuban community in Miami wants us to continue

And the reasons for its lifting:

  1. the cost to the Cuban people
  2. the embargo is the only excuse that the Castro regime has to maintain its tyranny
  3. to show the world that we are willing to try a new approach to motivate the Cubans to move towards democracy
  4. to open up the Cuban market to the United States

He further goes on to say: “To maintain the status quo is to continue failing to engender reforms in Cuba and to continue empowering the dictatorship.”

Click here to read the op-ed in its entirety.

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Via UPI:

The Venezuelan government is operating a secret paramilitary training camp with the help of Cuban military advisers and leftist Colombian guerrillas.

The camp near San Cristobal offers six-week courses for 400 to 1,000 participants, El Nuevo Herald reported Sunday.

The first phase of training at the camp reportedly is political indoctrination through texts printed in Cuba. The second phase includes training in the use of light and heavy weaponry and explosives.

The government of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has not responded to allegations about the training camp, but local officials have acknowledged its existence and the presence of Cubans.

Desarrollo Urbanite Caparo, a private tourism company that organizes trips to the area, says its services have been suspended for the time being because ”the government has taken the installations” until January.

The trainees are intended to support Chavez in the type of guerrilla war the president has repeatedly vowed to wage in the event he’s ousted from power, either by a military coup or the U.S. invasion he has alleged has been planned.

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Stratfor issues weekly guidelines to its analysts and this week focuses on Latin America with a theory of normalized relations between Cuba and United States:

Cuba remains the mystery. Havana is oddly quiet. Are there discussions going on with the United States? There should be, as far as the United States is concerned, but with an election coming, such talks are hard to set up. The Cubans don

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