economist intelligence unit

Cuba’s ranking in EIU’s Democracy Index

December 16, 2011

Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) just released its report Democracy Index 2011: Democracy Under Stress. Per the report: “The index provides a snapshot of the state of democracy worldwide for 165 independent states and two territories—this covers almost the entire population of the world and the vast majority of the world’s independent states (micro states are [...]

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Possibility of revolt?

April 29, 2011

The Economist Intelligence Unit gauges at the possibilty of a revolt in Cuba: Indeed, there is no sign yet that events on the other side of the world are inspiring a rise in anti-government sentiment in Cuba. And it may well be that the government’s decision to modestly liberalise economic policy to allow the emergence of [...]

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Younger generation of leadership?

April 1, 2011

The Economist Intelligence Unit published yesterday an extensive risk scenario watchlist for Cuba, which includes several scenarios, such as, macroeconomic, legal/regulatory and financial. However, most notable is EIU’s assessment of political stability of the island: Given Raúl Castro’s age (79), a change of leadership to a new generation of Cuban leaders within the next few years [...]

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Democracy in retreat

January 1, 2011

The Economist Intelligence Unit issued a report last month on the state of democracy worldwide for 165 independent states and two territories. EIU’s Index of Democracy 2010 is based on five categories: electoral process and pluralism; civil liberties; the functioning of government; political participation; and political culture. Countries are placed within one of four types [...]

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Hostility to business

October 23, 2010

Early this month, the Economist Intelligence Unit opined on political risk in Cuba: The main risks stem from hostility to business and difficult relations with the US. In spite of limited improvements, a return to normal diplomatic relations between the two countries is unlikely within the forecast period. And on economic structure risk: Significant structural [...]

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GDP to increase in 2011

September 5, 2010

The Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts for Cuba, “fiscal retrenchment will limit growth to only 2% in 2010. In 2011 policy relaxation will allow growth to pick up to 3.7%.” Key indicators 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP growth (%) 1.4 2.0 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.2 Consumer price inflation (av; %) -0.5 0.7 5.4 [...]

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